India’s EV Manufacturing Scheme: Concerns & Way Ahead

Syllabus: GS3/Science & Technology

Context

  • Recently, the Union Government recently said that it would start accepting applications from global electric car manufacturers for setting up factories in India.

About India’s Automotive Market

  • It is currently valued at ₹12.5 lakh crore ($150 billion), and is projected to double by 2030.
  • Passenger car sales are expected to grow to 9–11% of all vehicle sales by then, up from just 2.5% today, as electric mobility becomes central to climate action.
  • The Union Ministry of Heavy Industries announced a Scheme to Promote Manufacturing of Electric Passenger Cars in India (SPMEPCI) to capitalize on this opportunity in March, 2024.

Core Proposition of SPMEPCI

  • SPMEPCI encourages global EV manufacturers to set up factories in India, offering them a limited window to import high-value electric cars (worth $35,000) at a reduced customs duty of 15% — far lower than the usual 110%.
  • It is tightly capped at 8,000 units per year and subject to two conditions:
    • Revenue foregone through this incentive must not exceed the manufacturer’s capital investment.
    • Companies need to invest at least ₹4,150 crore, with domestic value addition of 25% by year three and 50% by year five.
Global EV Manufacturing Landscape
Surging Production and Regional Shifts: Global EV production reached 17.3 million units in 2024, with China leading at 12.4 million units, accounting for over 70% of global output.
1. European production stagnated at 2.4 million units, while North America saw mixed results — Mexico doubled its output, while U.S. production declined.
Battery Innovations and Cost Reductions: Battery prices have dropped significantly, making EVs more affordable.
1. In China, costs fell by 30%, while Europe and the U.S. saw 10–15% reductions.
2. Manufacturers are focusing on solid-state batteries and longer-range lithium-ion technologies to improve efficiency.
Market Expansion and Consumer Demand: EV sales are projected to grow from 15.7 million units in 2024 to 46.3 million units by 2035, at a 10.3% CAGR.
Global Export Dominance
– China topped global electric vehicle (EV) exports in 2024, according to the Global EV Outlook 2025 by the International Energy Agency (IEA).
– In all five emerging markets studied—Brazil, India, Indonesia, Mexico, and ThailandChinese OEMs offered EVs at lower prices than the average electric car, boosting adoption.

Significances of EVs

  • Tackling Climate Change: The transport sector contributes ~15% of global CO₂ emissions.
    • Oil dependency (petrol and diesel) is a major driver of this pollution.
    • Electric vehicles (EVs) powered by renewable energy present a cleaner alternative.
  • Reducing Local Air Pollution: Urban areas suffer from toxic air pollution, primarily from fossil-fuel vehicles.
    • EVs can significantly cut harmful emissions in cities. It has direct health and quality-of-life benefits.
  • Saving Foreign Exchange: Countries like India spend vast sums on oil imports.
    • EV adoption can reduce this burden, improving national economic resilience.

Key Concerns & Challenges

  • Limited Incentives for Global Investors: SPMEPCI offers no tax breaks, capital grants, or land/energy subsidies, unlike EV policies in countries like Thailand and Mexico.
  • Stringent Localization Requirements: While this encourages local manufacturing, many industry players worry that India’s existing supply chain isn’t mature enough to meet these demands, leading to production delays and increased costs.
  • High Entry Barriers: India’s scheme mandates for a minimum investment and strict domestic value addition targets.
    • These thresholds may deter smaller or newer players from entering the Indian market.
  • Revenue-Based Penalties: Automakers need to meet revenue targets of ₹5,000 crore in four years and ₹7,500 crore in five years. Falling short could trigger penalties of up to 3% of the revenue gap, recovered from bank guarantees.
    • It adds financial risk and uncertainty for participants.
  • Exclusion of Chinese Manufacturers: The scheme explicitly bars Chinese EV makers, including BYD, the world’s largest electric car manufacturer.
    • It limits competition and may reduce the diversity of technology and pricing options available to Indian consumers.
  • Limited Interest from Global Majors: While brands like Mercedes-Benz, Skoda, and Volkswagen have shown interest, Tesla has opted out, preferring to pay full import duties instead of investing in domestic production.

Government Initiatives and Policies

  • FAME India Scheme (Phase II): It aims to support the electrification of public and shared transportation.
  • E-Vehicle Policy: It encourages global EV manufacturers to invest in India, boosting domestic production and reducing reliance on imports.
  • PM E-DRIVE: It has played a crucial role in supporting commercial EV adoption, particularly in the three-wheeler segment.
  • Charging Infrastructure Expansion: As of mid-2024, India had over 16,000 public charging stations, significantly improving accessibility for EV users.

Way Ahead

  • There is a need to focus on automation and AI in manufacturing to integrate modular EV architectures to streamline production and cater to diverse market segments.
  • Manufacturers need to focus on recycling materials, reducing waste, and optimizing resource use to lower environmental impact (sustainability & circular economy).
    • Bio-based die-casting lubricants are emerging as eco-friendly alternatives for precision EV parts.
  • Introduce Direct Incentives such as tax exemptions, infrastructure support, or lower-cost financing.
  • Revise Investment Thresholds to encourage mid-sized global manufacturers.
  • Expand Import Allowances beyond 8,000 units per year to give investors a better runway.
  • Strengthen Supply Chain Development to help meet domestic value addition targets sustainably.
Daily Mains Practice Question
[Q] Does India’s EV manufacturing scheme genuinely support industry growth, or do its numerous restrictions and caveats stifle innovation and competition?

Source: BL

 

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