{"id":45442,"date":"2025-06-14T20:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-14T15:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/?p=45442"},"modified":"2025-07-01T15:53:08","modified_gmt":"2025-07-01T10:23:08","slug":"israel-iran-conflict","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/current-affairs\/14-06-2025\/israel-iran-conflict","title":{"rendered":"Israel-Iran Conflict\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Syllabus: GS2\/IR<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Context<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>After the IAEA resolution accused Iran of nuclear non-compliance (first such resolution in two decades), <strong>Israel launched Operation Rising Lion<\/strong>, a coordinated military strike targeting <strong>Iran\u2019s nuclear and missile infrastructure.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>About<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Israeli officials have described this operation as an<strong> \u201cexistential battle\u201d <\/strong>to <strong>eliminate Iran\u2019s ability to pose a long-term threat to Israel.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The two states have been at conflict since the founding of the Islamic Republic in <strong>1979<\/strong>, but Israel\u2019s attacks are a<strong> definite major escalation of the conflict.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img data-dominant-color=\"cfd4d6\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"640\" height=\"552\" src=\"https:\/\/wp-images.nextias.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/format=auto\/ca\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Israel-Iran-Conflict.png\" alt=\"Israel-Iran Conflict\u00a0\" class=\"not-transparent wp-image-45443\" style=\"--dominant-color: #cfd4d6; width:458px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/wp-images.nextias.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/format=auto\/ca\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Israel-Iran-Conflict.png 640w, https:\/\/wp-images.nextias.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/format=auto\/ca\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Israel-Iran-Conflict-300x259.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Iran\u2019s Proxy Warfare Strategy<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Over the years, Iran has developed a <strong>network of armed non-state groups <\/strong>across the region to <strong>exert influence and challenge Israel without engaging directly.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>These include:<\/strong> Hamas in Palestine, Hezbollah in Lebanon, Houthis in Yemen and Popular Mobilisation Forces (PMF) in Iraq.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>This proxy model has allowed Iran to:\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>minimize its own risks and costs;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>retain a layer of deniability while supporting actions against Israel;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>tie down Israeli military capabilities across multiple fronts.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Strategic Impact of Iran\u2019s Proxy Network: <\/strong>Through this strategy, Iran has managed to extend its influence well beyond its borders, impacting areas as far as the Mediterranean Sea, the Red Sea and the northern Arabian Sea.\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This indirect warfare has helped <strong>Iran strengthen its geopolitical position <\/strong>without triggering large-scale retaliation\u2014until now.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Israel\u2019s Ongoing Dilemma with Proxies<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Despite repeated military strikes against Iran-backed groups, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/current-affairs\/03-10-2024\/how-a-direct-israel-iran-conflict-affects-india\">Israel <\/a>has been <strong>unable to completely eliminate or neutralize them.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For instance, Hamas continues to operate in Gaza despite significant Israeli military action.\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Hezbollah still poses a threat from Lebanon.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The Houthis have withstood Israeli-aligned efforts despite attacks on infrastructure like the Sanaa airport.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Many of these groups, except Hamas, are<strong> heavily dependent on Iranian support, <\/strong>especially in terms of weapons and training.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Shift in Israeli Military Strategy<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Israel appears to have concluded that targeting these proxies individually is not enough to ensure long-term security.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The new approach targets <strong>the root of the problem \u2014 Iran itself, <\/strong>which supports and sustains the<strong> \u201cAxis of Resistance.\u201d<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Previous direct confrontations between the two countries in 2024 did not change the strategic balance. However, they revealed that many regional countries <strong>tacitly support Israel&#8217;s stance against Iran.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Implications of the Iran-Israel Conflict<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Escalation of Proxy Conflicts:<\/strong> Iran\u2019s regional proxies \u2014 Hamas, Hezbollah, Houthis, and PMF \u2014 may retaliate, opening multiple fronts and turning the war into a wider Middle Eastern conflict.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Destabilization of Fragile States:<\/strong> Countries like Lebanon, Iraq, Syria, and Yemen could witness a surge in violence, leading to internal political chaos and humanitarian crises.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Maritime Insecurity: <\/strong>Key shipping routes like the Strait of Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb, and Eastern Mediterranean may face threats, disrupting global trade and energy supply.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Oil Price Surge:<\/strong> A direct war involving Iran \u2014 a major oil producer \u2014 risks disrupting global oil exports, potentially triggering a spike in oil prices and inflation worldwide.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Derailment of Iran Nuclear Deal Talks:<\/strong> Ongoing efforts to revive the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) are likely to collapse, ending hopes for a peaceful nuclear settlement.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Strengthening Iran\u2019s Resolve: <\/strong>Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities may encourage Iran to accelerate its nuclear weapons program under the pretext of national defense.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Arms Race in the Region:<\/strong> Gulf countries like Saudi Arabia may push for nuclear capabilities, intensifying the regional arms race.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Reconfiguration of Regional Alliances: <\/strong>Arab states fearful of Iranian aggression may deepen cooperation with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/editorial-analysis\/20-06-2025\/escalation-spiral-on-the-israel-iran-conflict\">Israel<\/a>.\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Regional powers like Turkey may recalibrate their roles to balance influence, while Russia may attempt to exploit the crisis for strategic gains.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>India\u2019s Strategic and Economic Concerns: <\/strong>Over 60% of India\u2019s crude oil comes from the Middle East; instability can disrupt supplies and widen the current account deficit.\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Millions of Indian citizens work in the Gulf; escalation may require emergency evacuations and increase remittance risk.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>India will have to balance relations between Israel, Iran, and Arab countries, maintaining neutrality while protecting its strategic interests.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Source: <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/indianexpress.com\/article\/opinion\/columns\/israel-strikes-iran-old-conflict-new-front-10065568\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>IE<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-background has-fixed-layout\" style=\"background-color:#ebecf0\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Read this in Hindi: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/current-affairs-hindi\/14-06-2025\/%e0%a4%87%e0%a4%9c%e0%a4%b0%e0%a4%be%e0%a4%87%e0%a4%b2-%e0%a4%88%e0%a4%b0%e0%a4%be%e0%a4%a8-%e0%a4%b8%e0%a4%82%e0%a4%98%e0%a4%b0%e0%a5%8d%e0%a4%b7\">\u0907\u091c\u0930\u093e\u0907\u0932-\u0908\u0930\u093e\u0928 \u0938\u0902\u0918\u0930\u094d\u0937<\/a><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<h3><strong>Context<\/strong><\/h3>\n<li class=\"ms-5\">After the IAEA resolution accused Iran of nuclear non-compliance (first such resolution in two decades), Israel launched Operation Rising Lion, a coordinated military strike targeting Iran\u2019s nuclear and missile infrastructure.<\/li>\n<p><\/p>\n<h3><strong>About<\/strong><\/h3>\n<li class=\"ms-5\">Israeli officials have described this operation as an \u201cexistential battle\u201d to eliminate Iran\u2019s ability to pose a long-term threat to Israel.<\/li>\n<li class=\"ms-5\">The two states have been at conflict since the founding of the Islamic Republic in 1979, but Israel\u2019s attacks are a definite major escalation of the conflict.<\/li>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/current-affairs\/14-06-2025\/israel-iran-conflict\" class=\"btn btn-primary btn-sm float-end\">Read\u00a0More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45442","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-current-affairs"],"acf":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45442","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45442"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45442\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":46600,"href":"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45442\/revisions\/46600"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45442"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45442"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45442"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}