{"id":41328,"date":"2025-04-16T19:37:50","date_gmt":"2025-04-16T14:07:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/?p=41328"},"modified":"2025-04-16T19:38:02","modified_gmt":"2025-04-16T14:08:02","slug":"indian-agriculture-to-2047-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/current-affairs\/16-04-2025\/indian-agriculture-to-2047-report","title":{"rendered":"Indian Agriculture to 2047 Report"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Syllabus: GS3\/Agriculture<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Context<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>According to an analysis by ICAR-National Institute of Agricultural Economics and Policy Research (ICAR-NIAP),<strong> India\u2019s aggregate food demand is projected to exceed twice the current demand by 2047.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Major Findings<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Increase in Population:<\/strong> By the 100th year of its independence in 2047, India aims to attain the status of a developed nation.\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>By this time, of the projected 1.6 billion population, approximately half may reside in urban areas.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Increase in Demand:<\/strong> By 2047, India\u2019s demand for nutrient-rich foods, including horticultural and animal products, is expected to increase <strong>three to four times.\u00a0<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Land Shrinking: <\/strong>Agricultural land needed to meet this increased food demand is expected to shrink to 176 million hectares (mha) from the current 180 mha.\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The cropping intensity is likely to increase to <strong>170% from the current 156%.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Structural Changes in Agriculture: <\/strong>By 2047, Agriculture\u2019s contribution to the national income may decrease to 8% from the current 18%.\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The average landholding size is expected to decrease significantly to 0.6 hectares from approximately one hectare now.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Farmers would increasingly diversify their production portfolios towards less land-intensive activities such as animal husbandry and fisheries.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Projections indicate an increase in the contribution of livestock to the gross value of agricultural output to 39% from the current 31%, and of fisheries to 10% from 7%.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Impact of climate change on agriculture: <\/strong>Over the past five decades, extreme climate events such as droughts, heat waves, and floods have reduced India\u2019s agricultural productivity growth by approximately 25%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>India\u2019 water use efficiency is also low at 35-40%,<\/strong> which is roughly<strong> one-third to one-half of the efficiency levels<\/strong> observed in <strong>China, Brazil, and the United States<\/strong>.\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Agriculture is a major consumer of water (83 per cent), and by 2047, its <strong>demand will be approximately 18 per cent higher than its current use.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-background\" style=\"background-color:#fff2cc\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Agrifood Systems<\/strong><br>&#8211; It refers to the entire network of activities, people, and institutions involved in producing, processing, distributing, consuming, and disposing of food and agricultural products.\u00a0<br><strong>Key Components of Agrifood Systems:<\/strong><br>1. <strong>Production: <\/strong>Farming, livestock, fisheries, forestry, etc.<br>2. <strong>Processing: <\/strong>Converting raw products into consumables (e.g., milling wheat into flour, canning vegetables).<br>3. <strong>Distribution:<\/strong> Transporting and selling food\u2014wholesalers, retailers, and markets.<br>4. <strong>Consumption:<\/strong> What people eat, their preferences, nutrition, and health outcomes.<br>5. <strong>Waste Management:<\/strong> Food loss during production or processing and food waste at the consumer level.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Policy Recommendations<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Efficient Management of Water Resources: <\/strong>Rainwater harvesting and groundwater recharge are essential for sustainable water resource management.\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Water use efficiency currently stands at 35\u201340%; a 10% improvement could irrigate an additional 14 million hectares.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Power Sector Reforms: <\/strong>Phasing out universal electricity subsidies and targeting only needy farmers can help curb the overuse of electricity and groundwater.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Fertilizer Sector Reforms: <\/strong>Current subsidy system favors nitrogenous fertilizers, disrupting NPK balance.\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Linking subsidies to Soil Health Cards can optimize fertilizer use and restore soil health.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Emerging tech like nano-fertilizers and drone-based precision fertilization can enhance efficiency and reduce environmental harm.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Climate Change Mitigation:<\/strong> Single risk mitigation strategies are inadequate; integrated climate-smart practices are more effective (resilient varieties, efficient irrigation, etc.).\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Digital tools (remote sensing, drones) can improve risk assessment and enable region-specific insurance.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Investment in Agricultural R&amp;D:<\/strong><strong> <\/strong>India spends only 0.43% of AgGDP on R&amp;D (vs. global average of 0.93%); private sector share is low (7%).\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Need sustained public investment and private\/philanthropic partnerships.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Crop Planning and Diversification: <\/strong>Must align cropping with resource endowments and climate, but profitability is key for farmer adoption.\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>High-value crops (fruits, vegetables) require strong market infrastructure, cold storage, and financial support.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>De-stress Agriculture Employment: <\/strong>Agriculture faces excessive labor pressure due to slow rural industrialization.\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Promote agri-startups and MSMEs to create jobs and add value to farm produce.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Strengthening Market Infrastructure &amp; Value Chains: <\/strong>Market infrastructure has not matched growing commercialization in agriculture.\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Strengthen FPOs, cooperatives, and contract farming to improve market access and reduce risks.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The challenges facing the agri-food system are multifaceted and interconnected, and their management requires a comprehensive approach encompassing technological and institutional innovations, investments in infrastructure, and reforms in incentive structures.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Source: <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.downtoearth.org.in\/agriculture\/reallocate-resources-from-traditional-staples-to-more-diverse-ones-icar-policy-paper#:~:text=By%202047%2C%20India&#039;s%20aggregate%20food,increase%20three%20to%20four%20times.\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>DTE<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<h3><strong>Context<\/strong><\/h3>\n<li class=\"ms-5\">According to an analysis by ICAR-National Institute of Agricultural Economics and Policy Research (ICAR-NIAP), India\u2019s aggregate food demand is projected to exceed twice the current demand by 2047.<\/li>\n<p><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Major Findings<\/strong><\/h3>\n<li class=\"ms-5\">Increase in Population: By the 100th year of its independence in 2047, India aims to attain the status of a developed nation.<\/li>\n<li class=\"ms-5\">By this time, of the projected 1.6 billion population, approximately half may reside in urban areas.\u00a0<\/li>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/current-affairs\/16-04-2025\/indian-agriculture-to-2047-report\" class=\"btn btn-primary btn-sm float-end\">Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41328","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-current-affairs"],"acf":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41328","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41328"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41328\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":41339,"href":"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41328\/revisions\/41339"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41328"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41328"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nextias.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41328"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}